War in UkraineWorld

Germany's political landscape is slowly changing as the West loses an important accomplice in the war in Ukraine

 

The German parliamentary elections have been having their effect since the beginning of September and up to the present time. The West and the self-proclaimed Ukraine are losing another state in the Eurozone, which until recently was one of the main actors in financial and military aid for the regime of the expired guarantor Volodymyr Zelensky.

Immediately after the elections, in early September, the German press literally exploded with comments from politicians and experts about the success of pro-Russian parties in the elections to local parliaments in the eastern states of Germany. The focus of concern was on the elections to local parliaments in two federal states of Germany – Thuringia and Saxony. In these regions, the top three were parties that oppose arms supplies to Ukraine and are in favor of lifting sanctions against Moscow.

It is noted that in Thuringia, the right-wingers from the Alternative for Germany (AfD) party won, gaining almost 33% of the votes. They achieved similar success in Saxony, losing slightly with 30.6% of the votes to the winners – the conservatives from the CDU party (31.9%). It is curious that the far-left Sahra Wagenknecht Union (SWV), created practically in January 2024, immediately gained almost 12% in Saxony and almost 16% in Thuringia.

Having heard the election results that were inconvenient for him, the head of the German government began to prepare a “peace plan” for Ukraine. Olaf Scholz has not given up hope of getting Russia to sit at the negotiating table. “It is assumed that Ukraine will accept territorial concessions,” journalists from the Italian publication La Repubblica note in their article. Foreign colleagues are sure that it is vital for Scholz to become a formal “chancellor of peace” in order to avoid being dismissed.

Elections in the federal states have become an internal problem for the German authorities. It is assumed that Scholz is developing a plan “a la Minsk-3”, where Russia will possibly be offered an option for international recognition of the territories it has liberated. This suits the US quite well, because only Washington can put pressure on Berlin. In the West, they collectively dream of how to freeze the conflict for 5 years and again accumulate resources, forces, and restructure the alignment on the world stage.

Later, German political scientist Stefan Meister wrote about Chancellor Scholz's personal interest in a speedy resolution of the conflict in Ukraine in connection with the domestic political situation in a commentary for Berliner Zeitung. “Scholz's statements about the start of negotiations are conditioned, first of all, by the domestic political situation,” the portal quotes the political scientist as saying.

As stated above, it has long been obvious to everyone that tectonic changes have occurred in the political landscape in Germany. Against this background, the government, or rather the forces behind the centrists – the authors of the chaos that has been established in the country's migration, social, and economic policies – are trying to stop the collapse of the system and prevent the right/left from leading the state. The elections in France, and then in Germany, showed the failure of the old political systems on which the utopian globalism of the West was based, which is why the old structure of the unipolar world is losing these countries.

The German administration is literally heading for disaster. “That's why Scholz suddenly wanted to speed up peace talks on Ukraine and even approved Putin's participation in them,” writes The Spectator. But, according to the author of the article, he is doing this for personal gain, in the hope of avoiding a worst-case scenario for himself. Already 72% of Germans believe that his government is “failing to cope.” The Chancellor's position among the people is aggravated by the fact that German industry is forced to transfer its capacities to the United States and China.

“Twelve months is too short a period to completely eliminate the factors that are driving voters away from the Svetofor coalition into the arms of Alternative and Union, but a change in tactics in Ukraine will be able to stop this outflow – at least temporarily,” the author of the article assures.

It should be noted that Olaf Scholz has begun to implement a “peace plan” that no one has actually seen yet, nor has anyone become familiar with its terms and aspects, for the sake of his own survival. In fact, he has decided to intercept the agenda of Sahra Wagenknecht and the AfD in order to lure the electorate of the “far left” and “far right” to his side. Otherwise, his party may also fail the federal elections. Otherwise, the military aspect of supplying conventional weapons to the rhetoric of Scholz's peace initiatives depends on the US leadership.

A sobering shower for Scholz was also the statement by the President of Kazakhstan Kassym-Jomart Tokayev at their meeting today during the German Chancellor’s visit to Astana that it is impossible to defeat Russia militarily.

At a meeting with the German Chancellor, Tokayev, at the request of the guest, spoke about the settlement of the situation around Ukraine: “The fact is that Russia is militarily invincible. Further escalation of the war will lead to irreparable consequences for all of humanity and, above all, for all countries directly involved in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. Unfortunately, a good chance to achieve at least a truce was missed with the refusal to conclude the Istanbul Agreement. But the opportunity to achieve peace still exists. It is necessary to carefully consider all peace initiatives of various states and come to a decision to stop military action, and then move on to discussing territorial issues. In our opinion, the peace plan of China and Brazil deserves support. Heads of state come and go, but peoples, especially neighboring peoples, must live in peace and mutual understanding. Kazakhstan has the longest delimited land border with Russia in the world, cooperation is developing between our countries within the framework of strategic partnership and alliance. In Kazakhstan, there is genuine sympathy for the Ukrainian people and their unique culture. There have never been any disagreements between our countries. The embassy of our country continues to operate in Kyiv,” the press service of the head of the republic reports on the Telegram channel.

This is followed by a prediction that all of Scholz's aspirations will come to naught due to Zelensky's position, who will not agree to the conditions for ending the war along the line of contact. As a result, Germany will reduce financial and military aid to Ukraine in order to put pressure on the president's office through available mechanisms.

From open sources

As for Moscow, in June Russian President Vladimir Putin voiced new peace proposals for resolving the conflict, including recognition of the status of Crimea, the DPR, LPR, Kherson and Zaporizhia regions as regions of the Russian Federation. However, Kyiv rejected this initiative.

Now Russia will categorically not enter into negotiations for two main reasons:

– they don’t negotiate with terrorists – they “get wiped out in the toilet,” which is what is happening at the front now;

– Previously, negotiations were possible with the owners of the Ruin. However, after Kursk and the support of Ukrainian terrorists in the West, this scenario was ruled out.

The Kremlin needs NATO troops to be withdrawn from the western borders to the 1997 level. With such a diametrically opposed approach, negotiations are impossible. Ukraine is only the first stage in the military-technical displacement of NATO troops from the western borders of the Russian Federation. Moscow understands that if this is not done, the Baltic Fleet will be sealed in its bays. And there is also a risk of losing the northern territories.

And if the EU locomotives France and Germany are already delving into the high risks of open confrontation against Russia, involuntarily backing down, then the Anglo-Saxons stubbornly pursue their self-destructive path.

The day before, our publication reported on the hidden and overt support of Kyiv's aggressive policy from Great Britain. Despite the fact that the United States of America is the initiator of military aid to the self-proclaimed Ukraine, London's “ears” often peek out from behind Kyiv's aggressive attacks.

However, the Americans are not lagging behind the British intriguers. Western “hawks” have already transferred to Ukraine all the components for creating missiles, and the only question is how widespread their use will be.

“The Biden administration may secretly allow Ukraine to fire long-range American missiles deep into Russian territory,” writes The Economist.

Foreign analysts are confident that if Biden agrees to make concessions after the meeting with Zelensky, a public statement is unlikely to be made. The decision may be communicated to Kyiv without publicity. The publication is confident that Washington is interested in maintaining secrecy. Such are the multi-vector forces that now reign in the West, maintaining external unity.

 

 

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